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I agree with bandit. Site must be a high/mid B and the colt turned out to be a low B

Sorry I had to finish work before I could finish explaining.

There is quite a range within each paper level and it is not uncommon for 2 or 3 generations to compare superior to sire but paper the same.

You are more likely to get an intact foal by breeding even and there’s 2 ways of that- breeding by generations or papers.

I find it easier to breed by generations and then if I have different papers within that generation, group them together, so that the same quality is being bred together (if possible) and it’s easier to gauge what level that horse is within the paper level.

Looking at the foals pedigree I think you may have had a better chance at an intact foal by breeding the mare to the studs sire. Since they are both rank specials you know their quality is the same. The stud doesn’t say that it needs testing so most likely has been run through BA or SBA. It doesn’t have comparison test results recorded but is most likely at least as good as or superior to sire therefore the stud is as good as or superior to the mare.

BA tests the foal against both the dam and sire and to pass it must be at least close to the same quality if not better and SBA requirements are stricter. Since the stud is at or above the mares quality the foal needs to be nearer his quality or better to pass

You may have had a bad roll of the dice and trying again next year may produce an intact foal but I would suggest looking for an expro or rank special foundation stud to breed to your mare. For better results yet stick her in a pasture with the foundation stud so that she gets her full bonus.

A 5% boost will not take a low B to A paper.

All horses, even good ones, don't throw a perfect foal each time. Just got unlucky really and the foal wasn't good enough to pass. Sometimes you get foals worse than parents, sometimes better than parents

An exceptionally perfect is 105%, and a 5% boost takes them to an A paper

No idea what the percentages work out to after that though, but I'd guess that roughly 120% breeding ability would be a Star? There is no way to work that out though once they are past foundation and known breeding ability

that the foal is from the bottom end of both their ranges

Not how breeding works.

Yep and I keep telling people that is wrong. :)) Horses do not have a range of what they can produce. Each CROSS has a range it can produce, not each horse. A failed to a star has a different range of what it can produce than a star to a gold.

Thanks for that clarification, Ammit.

So the mare and stallion each have a set breeding quality/number, and that combined/averaged is what the foal is, plus or minus the breeding random factor? It got me thinking though on what determines that range... So if a yellow mare and a Star stallion breed, the range would be bigger?